Economic Relations between Kazakhstan and Russia

|n | | | | | | | |

|• China | 2 | 0,8 |1,1 | 1,2 |2,2 | 3 | 2,8 |

|Poland | 0,7 | 1 |1 | 1,1 | 1,7 | 1,2 | 0,9 |

|•Uzbekist|7,8 | 2,1 |1,5 | 2,2 | 2,4 | 1,5 | 1,3 |

|an | | | | | | | |

|•Kyrgysta| 2,9 | 2,1 |1,5 | 1,2 | 0,7 | 0.6 |0,4 |

|n | | | | | | | |

|• | 0,5 |0,4 | 0,1 | 0,1 |0,1 | 0,1 | 0 |

|Tajikista| | | | | | | |

|n | | | | | | | |

The Diagrama1

Basic trade partners, in export, 1994-2001 (%)

[pic]

|1994 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |

|•Russian | 44.5 | 42 | 35,2 | 29.6 | 19,8 | 19,5 | 20,2 |

|Federatio| | | | | | | |

|n | | | | | | | |

|• China | 4,6 | 7,8 | 6,8 | 7 | 8,5 | 7,3 | 7,1 |

|Poland | 1,7 | 0,4 | 0,4 | 0,8 | 1,4 | 0,8 | 1.5 |

|•Uzbekist| 4 | 3,4 | 2,3 | 2,2 | 1,2 | 1,5 | 1.4 |

|an | | | | | | | |

|•Kyrgysta| 1,9 | 1,9 | 1 | 1,2 | 1,1 | 0.6 | 1 |

|n | | | | | | | |

|• | 03 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 08 | 0.6 | 0,6 |

|Tajikista| | | | | | | |

|n | | | | | | | |

The Diagrama2

Considering structure of export and import on groups of the commodity

spectrum, it is possible to select the following characteristic features.

Export. Structure of export Republic of Kazakhstan in Russian

Federation for the last few years has varied the separate commodity groups

have occupied a leading position.

Now on four commodity groups (glow iris3) (fuel mineral, oil and

petroleum; products of inorganic chemistry; grain bread and ores) are

necessary about 80 % of the Kazakhstan export in Russia, whereas in 1994

on the pointed groups it was necessary 53,3 %. In 2001 as contrasted to

2000 the separate outbound delivering tended to lowering, so, for example,

the specific gravity of export of a grain was reduced from 12 % up to 6 %;

the export of products of inorganic chemistry was reduced from 14 % up to

13 %. Certainly, on lowering of export in Russia renders influence a

variance between the in-house prices and prices of outbound delivering.

At the same time it is necessary to mark, that the reduction of export

has taken place not on all basic groups of the commodity spectrum. The

specific gravity of export of ore has increased from 8 % up to 10 % and

export of fuel from 46 % up to 47 %.

Import of republic of Kazakhstan goes into first five of the countries

of the basic trade partners of Russia in import. The specific gravity of

import of Russia has increased in total amount of the Kazakhstan import

from 36,7 % per 1999 up to 45,4 % per 2001. There were insignificant

variations in groups of imported commodity production. So, the volumes of

import were reduced

[pic]

Diagram 3

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Diagram 4

Transport, accordingly, from 15 % in 2000 up to 11 % in 2001,

alongside with it the magnifying of import on such commodity groups is

marked: fuel mineral (from 17 % up to 21 %), chemical production (from 14 %

up to 16 %), black metals and work pieces from them (from 11 % up to 13 %)

(Diagrama4).

The analysis of export and import displays, that in structure of

import as against export there is no predominance of separate commodity

groups, it more diversification, at the same time grows a specific gravity

of articles of food, products of processing ready articles.

From 89 regions of Russian Federation 72 have trade - economic links

with Republic of Kazakhstan. Depending on volume trade turn over with

Kazakhstan these regions Russia can divide into a series of groups. The

active participants of the foreign trade activity with Kazakhstan are first

three groups of regions of Russia (table 1).

As a whole on 16 regions of Russian Federation from 72 it is necessary

80 % exterior trade turn over of Russia with Kazakhstan. The high activity

pointed 16 regions is stipulated by more developed structure of their

industrial manufacture with predominance of fuel-raw, petrochemical and

machine-building specializations.

Feature of transport -geographical interregional links of regions of

Russia with Kazakhstan is the directedness mutual goods traffic primarily

with Ural, Western and East Siberia, and also with Moscow and Moscow

region.

Basic groups of the trade partners of Kazakhstan in Russia

|Group |Annual |Regions |A share in |

| |commodity | |common |

| |circulation | |commodity |

| | | |circulation |

|I |From 200,0 up |Moscow, |0,465 |

| |to 500,0 mln |Chelyabinsk, | |

| |of dollars |Ekaterenburg, | |

| | |Orenburg and | |

| | |Tyumen region | |

|II |From 100,1 up |Omsk, Irkutsk,|0,22 |

| |to 200,0 mln |Kemerovo, | |

| |of dollars |Moscow region.| |

| | |Altay region | |

| | |and | |

| | |Novosibirsk | |

| | |region | |

|III |From 50,1 up |Kurgan region,|0,115 |

| |to 100 mln of |Republic of | |

| |dollars |Bashkortostan,| |

| | |Republic of | |

| | |Hakasya, | |

| | |Krasnoyarsk | |

| | |region and | |

| | |Samara region | |

|IV |From 20,1 up |Perm, Tomsk |0,095 |

| |to 50,0 mln of|region, | |

| |dollars |Republic of | |

| | |Tatarstan, | |

| | |Nizhniy- | |

| | |Novgorod, | |

| | |Belgorod, | |

| | |Volgograd, | |

| | |Saratov, | |

| | |Rostov, | |

| | |Vladimir, Tula| |

| | |region and. | |

| | |St.-Petersburg| |

|V |Up to 20 mln |Others 45 |0,105 |

| |dollars |regions of | |

| | |Russian | |

| | |Federation | |

The important place in the Russia -Kazakhstan links occupies frontier

cooperating, on which share it is necessary 71,5 % from common commodity

circulation. Most actively explicate trade -economic links with frontier

regions of Kazakhstan Omsk, Orenburg, Astrakhan, Chelyabinsk, Novosibirsk

region and Altay region. From regions of Russia the ready roll stock of

black metals, pipe steel, petroleum, electric motors, automobiles, forest

products, coal, footwear, fabrics and other goods is taken out. In export

of many frontier subjects of Federation significant volume is necessary on

production of a petrochemical industry (Volgograd, Omsk, Samara region,

Altay region - more than 70 %).

In the Russia -Kazakhstan frontier region more 300 share enterprises,

among which such large interstate join, as “Kazroshim”, “Koksohim”,

automobile complex on basis Ural - for and Kustanay diesel factory operate.

The essential propagation in trade with Kazakhstan was received with

barter operations (57 %). So, Orsk meat factory the combine sends in

Kazakhstan in basic production of the manufacture and receives in exchange

raw material for manufacture of this production - living cattle and meat.

The joint-stock company “Nosta” receives from Kazakhstan immovable coal and

delivers metals.

The significant experience of mutual economic cooperating with frontier

regions of Kazakhstan accumulated in the Orenburg region, and also Pavlodar

region of Kazakhstan with frontier regions of Russia. Now 18 % of the

Orenburg export and more than 40 % of import have on Kazakhstan.

By the largest foreign trade partner of Republic Bashkortostan, Altay and

Krasnoyarsk edges, Kemerovo, Irkutsk, Omsk, Orenburg, Sverdlovsk and

Chelyabinsk regions is the Pavlodar region.

As a whole before Kazakhstan in mutual trade with Russia there is a

series of perspective tasks, which decision will influence definitely a

common economic situation in the country.

One of the important tasks is the variation trade balance of Kazakhstan

from Russian Federation from negative in positive. Besides the gradual

variation of structure commodity circulation in favorable for Republic of

Kazakhstan a direction is desirable.

Radiating from interests of two states, it is expedient in the nearest

perspective to consider a complex of measures on hardening links of

frontier regions. The necessity of creation of legal fundamentals of a

development of frontier regions does not call doubts. On our sight, it is

necessary to speed up development of the defining laws. Among them Laws

About state support of a socio economic development of frontier territories

Republic of Kazakhstan, About free economic regions, About frontier trade.

It is necessary also to speed up ratification four sided of the Agreement

on basic principles of frontier cooperating of the states - the

participants of the Contract about a deepening of integration in economic

and humanitarian regions from March 29, 1996.

Obvious presence of potential and mutually advantageous opportunities

of Russia and Kazakhstan also is by way of use of the optimum shapes of

specialization, density of the industrial and financial capital, use of

effective financial instruments, architecture of optimum commodity,

financial and transport streams. In this connection special urgency in a

development Kazakhstan – Russia of links was got with problems of a

synchronization of legislative and normative basis of the countries. It

would be expedient to realize step-by-step transition to collection of the

VAT on destination in Kazakhstan – Russia to trade, having begun it(him)

from machines, equipment, vehicles.

Not less important the coordinated marketing strategy of Kazakhstan and

Russia in the international markets is represented, where the saving and

hardening of common positions is quite possible. The priority direction

represents perfecting the organizational shapes of activity Kazakhstan and

Russian suppliers in the world markets. Them can become cartel of the

agreement.

One of the important instruments of hardening of two-way communications

could become creation of conditions for expansion of contacts between the

enterprises, creation of the share enterprises. On official dates (2000) in

republic 220 share Russia -Kazakhstan enterprises and 88 enterprises with

the 100--percent Russian capital actively work. The majority JV in

republic, including Russia-Kazakhstan JV, has trade –intermediary

directedness. However as against other states Russia- Kazakhstan JV of an

industrial directedness envelop considerably wider spectrum of spheres of

activity - from production and processing of natural operational life up to

production of a high scale of processing that in a defined measure confirms

an overall performance Russia- Kazakhstan JV. At the same time Russia

–Kazakhstan JV for the present do not play that role, which they could play

in a development of trade -economic cooperating. Therefore in this

direction the active support is expedient on the part of state structures.

1.2 Cooperating in oil gas and power sphere.

The given direction of cooperating between two countries by us is one

of perspective. The structure of the Kazakhstan export of oil on the

countries in 2001 is characterized by lowering of a share of delivering in

the countries of CIS (17 %) and expansion of geography of export of oil in

the countries of foreign countries (83 %) (Diagrama5).

The indexes of export of petroleum in 2001 essentially have varied as

contrasted to 2000. Alongside with export of Kazakhstan realizes import of

petroleum. And 98 % of all imported volumes of petroleum are necessary on

Russian Federation.

The lowering of the excise rates on imported petrol with 80 up to 31

EURO per ton in 2001 and falling recently of world prices per oil promoted

magnifying of delivering of the Russian oil for in-house processing. The

export of petroleum to the countries of CIS became more attractive for

Russia, than the delivering of oil on the world market, as, for example, in

Kazakhstan of the price on the same aspects of petroleum is much higher

Russian.

Kazakhstan more than on 50 % depends on Russia in a ratio of delivering

of crude oil on refinery factory in Shimkentand Pavlodar receive west

Siberian oil on the algorithm manifold from Omsk. Pavlodar refinery factory

on 100 % depends from west Siberian of oil. Shimkent usually works on 75 %

on west Siberian and on 25 % on raw material Kumkol of a deposit. Today

dependence from of west Siberian oil “Orgsintez” is reduced half at the

expense of use of the Aktyubinsk oil, transport by a railway transportation

from west of Kazakhstan. Because of lowering production of oil on west

Siberian deposits, fadeout of payments and mutual debts the question of

security by oil Pavlodar and Shimkent refinery factory more than once

acquired critical character, and the capacity factor of powers of these

enterprises frequently lowered below 0,5.

Its technological dependence on Russia falls into basic problems

Pavlodar refinery factory: the production cycle of the enterprise is

calculated for consumption west Siberian of oil with the low contents of

sulfur and paraffin. The perspectives flagship of the Kazakhstan oil

processing is complicated with its neighborhood with the Russian factories

- competitors:

Omsk, Ufa, Volgograd refinery factory by the enterprises being

vertically - integrated, they have stable access to crude oil, besides on

reduced prices, which the necessities of northern Kazakhstan in petroleum

could at desire completely satisfy.

Structure of export of the Kazakhstan oil, 2001

[pic]

Diagram 5

In oil and gas of branch the cooperating explicates also through link of

share development of the Kazakhstan deposits. Russia in the projects on

natural resources users in region of Republic of Kazakhstan, as it is

possible to see from the Diagrama6, occupies the fourth place and makes 6

%. The Russian investments in a mineral-raw complex (MSK) of Kazakhstan

have made in 2000 32,2 million of dollars, including in investigation

hydrocarbon of raw material (UVS) 3,5 mln of dollars, in production of hard

minerals (TPI) - 28,7 mln of dollars.

Two Russian investors “Bashnevt” and OJSC “Lukoil” submit the

investments in UVS. In oil branch of Kazakhstan the company “Lukoil” is

submitted in such large projects, Tengiz and Karachiganak Besides “Lukoil”

is ready to expand the presence at Kazakhstan, messages not only

development of ready deposits, but also prospecting operations.

The large interest in relation to Kazakhstan is expressed with the large

oil Russian company “Yokus” which has received a section for developments

in Russia and region of Kazakhstan.

Structure of the direct foreign investments in Kazakhstan,2000[pic]

Diagram 6

In sphere TPI of Kazakhstan the Russian investors are submitted by

such large companies, as the Russian Academy of Science of European

Economic Community (83,9 %), OJSC “Magnitogorsk” metallurgical combine

(10,6 %) and NPK “Investor” (3,8 %).

The Kazakhstan enterprises also show interest to the Russian projects.

So, “Kazakhoil” (“Kazmunaigas”) negotiates for share developments in Tomsk

region, on a deposit “Komsomolsk” in the Astrakhan region. At Kazakhstan

oilman there are intentions to develop deposits in the Arkhangelsk region.

Since 2000 the electric power system of Kazakhstan works in a parallel

condition from European Economic Community of Russia and grid system of the

countries of Central Asia.

The parallel operation of electric power systems considerably has

boosted quality of electrical power and reliability of electro supply of

consumers of Kazakhstan, Central Asia and Russian Federation, and also has

allowed operatively to realize surplus of electricity both transit of

electrical power and powers, it is more rational to use power powers of

electrical stations. The electric power system of Kazakhstan and Russian

Academy of Science European Economic Comminity of Russia is called secure

each other in case of crashes.

In the whole cooperating of Kazakhstan and Russia in fuel and energy

sphere has noticeable perspectives.

Rather perspective the project of transfer of a direct current

Ekibastuz - Tambov by voltage 1 500 sq is. This project opens an

opportunity of transport of the electric power of the Siberian power

stations and Ekibastuz heater in central regions of Russia and in the

countries of Europe.

With the purposes of security of a mutually acceptable uniform tax

condition of trade in the electric power, utilities equipment it is

expedient to realize transition of the countries at collection of indirect

taxes on a principle the countries of assignment. In this connection for a

heightening of efficiency of a parallel operation of electric power systems

the simplification of customs procedures is important at migration of

electrical power through the customs boundary.

The major factor of a development of the power market is the deepening

of cooperating in the field of scientific researches and developments of

advanced techniques in manufacture of power, electro technical equipment.

Now all aspects of equipment are made for power stations in Russia,

(Leningrad metal factory, Belenergomash, Uralenergomash, Siberenergomash).

With disintegration of Union economic links between the manufacturers and

consumers of a utilities equipment considerably have worsened, that is

negatively reflected in availability index of product of power complexes of

the country. On this question it is expedient except of concrete measures

at a level of Government.

1.3 Cooperating in sphere of transport and communications.

Cooperating in sphere of transport and communications one of the most

perspective regions of a development of two-sided ratios between Kazakhstan

and Russia. Both states in a context of a development of transport

cooperating have the friend for the friend a strategic value, as, apart

from a wide national transport web, occupy defining a geographical

position.

Kazakhstan and Russia are closely coupled by the transport

communications. In this connection of Kazakhstan is sensitive reacts to any

variations under the tariffs for freight traffic on region of Russia.

One of key here of questions - transportation of oil and gas through

region of Russia. In aggregate transportation of the Caspian oil and in the

whole oil is one of the major sides of the Russia -Kazakhstan cooperating.

First of all this magnifying of a channel capacity of an oil pipeline

Atyrau – Samara up to 15 millions tons of oil per one year. The intimation

into service CPC ensures export of the Kazakhstan oil on a long-term

perspective.

In a period with 1995 and till 1999 Russia gave Kazakhstan such quota,

which did not allow the Kazakhstan exporters to involve the algorithm

manifold Atyrau – Samara on an apparent watts its annual channel capacity

in 10,5 mln of tons of oil. And only in 1999 the algorithm manifold was

loaded almost on 100 %. The agreement on magnifying of a quota at transit

of oil in long-distance foreign countries at first up to 5 mln of tons

(December 23, 1998) was signed, and then (February 25, 1999) up to 7,5 mln

of tons (the quota in short-range foreign countries has remained former -

3,5 mln of tons). This decision initiated occurrence of the project of

reconstruction and modernizing of the algorithm manifold Atyrau – Samara

for magnifying of a channel capacity at first up to 12 mln of tons, then -

up to 15 mln of tons.

This project, designed transport companies of both countries - Russian

“Transoil” and Kazakhstan “Kazakhoil”, is favorable to both sides. For

“Transoil” the transportation of the Kazakhstan oil on the algorithm

manifolds that for complete use of their powers does not suffice 20 mln

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